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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pennarossa v Folgore: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino · Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova
2–3
FT
Pennarossa 12%Draw 20%Folgore 68% Expected goals 0.96 – 2.40
68%
Betarazi pick

Folgore to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.34Odds

Picks by market

ResultFolgore to win ✓68% · @1.34
Double chanceFolgore or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.42

Pennarossa vs Folgore: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Pennarossa v Folgore in the Campionato, played at Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova. In the table, Pennarossa are 13th, lower half, on 5 points after 8 matches; Folgore are 1st (leading the league) with 22. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pennarossa 1.0 xG, Folgore 2.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pennarossa 12%, draw 20%, Folgore 68%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Folgore to win (68%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pennarossa 0–2 Folgore. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pennarossa12%fair 8.04 · @7.00
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.50
Folgore68%fair 1.47 · @1.34
3.36Expected goals
0.96Pennarossa xG
2.40Folgore xG
52%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–18%
0–38%
1–18%
1–38%

From our goals model: Pennarossa 1.0 – 2.4 Folgore expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFolgore to win ✓68%1.471.34
Double chanceFolgore or draw ✓88%1.141.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betFolgore (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapFolgore -1 (Asian handicap)60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.601.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.711.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.321.22
First team to scoreFolgore to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultFolgore ahead at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Folgore / FT Folgore ✓46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.42–

Recent results

Pennarossa

No recent results on record.

Folgore – last 1

D
15 Febvs Tre Fiori2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pennarossa and Folgore.

Pennarossa vs Folgore head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pennarossa vs Folgore?

Our pick is Folgore to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Pennarossa vs Folgore?

On our numbers Pennarossa have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Folgore 68%.

How many goals will there be in Pennarossa vs Folgore?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pennarossa vs Folgore?

Our predicted score is Pennarossa 0–2 Folgore, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Pennarossa vs Folgore?

Pennarossa vs Folgore (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.