El Mokawloon 37%Draw 29%AL Masry 35%Expected goals 1.17 – 0.95
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: El Mokawloon to win @ 2.92 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEl Mokawloon to win ✗37% · @2.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.85
El Mokawloon vs AL Masry: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Thursday 19 February: El Mokawloon v AL Masry in the Premier League, played at New Suez Stadium. In the table, El Mokawloon are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; AL Masry are 12th (lower half) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Mokawloon 1.2 xG, AL Masry 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Mokawloon 37%, draw 29%, AL Masry 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: El Mokawloon to win @2.92 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Mokawloon 1–0 AL Masry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Mokawloon37%fair 2.72 · @2.92
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.00
AL Masry35%fair 2.89 · @2.40
2.12Expected goals
1.17El Mokawloon xG
0.95AL Masry xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: El Mokawloon 1.2 – 1.0 AL Masry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Mokawloon to win✗
37%
2.72
2.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Draw no bet
El Mokawloon (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
AL Masry +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
El Mokawloon to score first
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Mokawloon / FT El Mokawloon✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.85
–
Recent results
El Mokawloon
No recent results on record.
AL Masry
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Mokawloon and AL Masry.
What is the prediction for El Mokawloon vs AL Masry?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win El Mokawloon vs AL Masry?
On our numbers El Mokawloon have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and AL Masry 35%.
How many goals will there be in El Mokawloon vs AL Masry?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Mokawloon vs AL Masry?
Our predicted score is El Mokawloon 1–0 AL Masry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is El Mokawloon vs AL Masry?
El Mokawloon vs AL Masry (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at New Suez Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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