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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al Ahly v El Gouna FC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Egypt · Cairo International Stadium
1–0
FT
Al Ahly 70%Draw 19%El Gouna FC 11% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.57
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Ahly to win ✓70% · @1.32
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.52

Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

El Gouna FC travel to face Al Ahly on Thursday 19 February in the Premier League, with Cairo International Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Al Ahly are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 8 matches; El Gouna FC are 20th (in the drop zone) with 3. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahly 2.0 xG, El Gouna FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahly 70%, draw 19%, El Gouna FC 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahly 2–0 El Gouna FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Ahly70%fair 1.42 · @1.32
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.20
El Gouna FC11%fair 9.23 · @10.50
2.58Expected goals
2.01Al Ahly xG
0.57El Gouna FC xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: Al Ahly 2.0 – 0.6 El Gouna FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Ahly to win ✓70%1.421.32
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.921.48
Draw no betAl Ahly (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapAl Ahly -1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreAl Ahly to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultAl Ahly ahead at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Ahly / FT Al Ahly ✓47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15%6.52–

Recent results

Al Ahly – last 1

D
15 Febvs FAR Rabat0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

El Gouna FC

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Al Ahly and El Gouna FC.

Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids FC8800+1524
2Al Ahly8620+920
3Zamalek SC8611+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8602+718
5Al Ittihad8422+314
6Future FC8413+213
7El Mokawloon8323+311
8National Bank of Egypt8323011
9Smouha SC8323011
10Masr8323-111
11Petrojet8233-29
12AL Masry8233-29
13Olympic El Qanah8152-28
14El Geish8224-68
15Wadi Degla8143-27
16Enppi8215-57
17Ghazl El Mehalla8215-77
18Asyut Petrol8134-46
19Abu Qair Semad8116-94
20El Gouna FC8035-63

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC?

On our numbers Al Ahly have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and El Gouna FC 11%.

How many goals will there be in Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC?

Our predicted score is Al Ahly 2–0 El Gouna FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC?

Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.