Value bet: El Mokawloon to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEl Mokawloon to win ✗37% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.17
El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
El Mokawloon travel to face El Gouna FC on Monday 23 February in the Premier League, with Cairo International Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, El Gouna FC are 20th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 8 matches; El Mokawloon are 7th (upper half) with 11.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Gouna FC 0.8 xG, El Mokawloon 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Gouna FC 32%, draw 31%, El Mokawloon 37%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: El Mokawloon to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Gouna FC 0–1 El Mokawloon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Gouna FC32%fair 3.12 · @2.55
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @2.66
El Mokawloon37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
1.83Expected goals
0.82El Gouna FC xG
1.01El Mokawloon xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: El Gouna FC 0.8 – 1.0 El Mokawloon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Mokawloon to win✗
37%
2.69
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.50
Draw no bet
El Mokawloon (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
El Gouna FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
El Mokawloon to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.17
–
Recent results
El Gouna FC – last 1
L
19 Feb
@ Al Ahly
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Mokawloon – last 1
D
19 Feb
vs AL Masry
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Gouna FC and El Mokawloon.
What is the prediction for El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
On our numbers El Gouna FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 31% and El Mokawloon 37%.
How many goals will there be in El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
Our predicted score is El Gouna FC 0–1 El Mokawloon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kahraba Ismailia2