Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Ahly to win ✓60% · @1.54
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.35
Smouha SC vs Al Ahly: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Monday 23 February: Smouha SC v Al Ahly in the Premier League, played at Alexandria Stadium. In the table, Smouha SC are 9th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Al Ahly are 2nd (among the top four) with 20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Smouha SC 0.6 xG, Al Ahly 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Smouha SC 14%, draw 26%, Al Ahly 60%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Smouha SC 0–1 Al Ahly. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Smouha SC14%fair 7.29 · @6.75
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.40
Al Ahly60%fair 1.66 · @1.54
2.07Expected goals
0.59Smouha SC xG
1.48Al Ahly xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–214%
0–013%
1–111%
1–28%
1–07%
From our goals model: Smouha SC 0.6 – 1.5 Al Ahly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahly to win✓
60%
1.66
1.54
Double chance
Al Ahly or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.50
Draw no bet
Al Ahly (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Smouha SC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Al Ahly to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahly / FT Al Ahly✓
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
19%
5.35
–
Recent results
Smouha SC – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Al Ittihad
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Ahly – last 2
WD
19 Feb
vs El Gouna FC
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs FAR Rabat
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smouha SC and Al Ahly.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
On our numbers Smouha SC have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al Ahly 60%.
How many goals will there be in Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
Our predicted score is Smouha SC 0–1 Al Ahly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
Smouha SC vs Al Ahly (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Alexandria Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kahraba Ismailia2