Palermo vs Mantova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Palermo welcome Mantova to Stadio Renzo Barbera for a Serie B fixture on Wednesday 4 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, Palermo are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Mantova are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palermo 1.9 xG, Mantova 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palermo 61%, draw 22%, Mantova 17%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palermo 1–1 Mantova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palermo61%fair 1.64 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.10
Mantova17%fair 5.81 · @5.80
2.86Expected goals
1.87Palermo xG
0.98Mantova xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.9 – 1.0 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Double chance
Palermo or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Draw no bet
Palermo (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Mantova +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
Palermo to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Palermo ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Palermo – last 2
LW
1 Mar
@ Pescara
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Sudtirol
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mantova – last 2
DW
1 Mar
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Sampdoria
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palermo and Mantova.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Palermo vs Mantova?
On our numbers Palermo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mantova 17%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Mantova?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Mantova?
Our predicted score is Palermo 1–1 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Mantova?
Palermo vs Mantova (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bari2
Frosinone2
Pescara2