Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Frosinone to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFrosinone to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceFrosinone or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Frosinone vs Sampdoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sampdoria travel to face Frosinone on Sunday 8 March in the Serie B, with Stadio Benito Stirpe the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Frosinone, last 4: DDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Pescara, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Sampdoria, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juve Stabia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Frosinone, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Sampdoria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Frosinone 1.9 xG, Sampdoria 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Frosinone 59%, draw 22%, Sampdoria 20%.
Lower-risk option: Frosinone or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Frosinone to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Frosinone or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Frosinone 1–0 Sampdoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Frosinone59%fair 1.71 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.50
Sampdoria20%fair 5.05 · @3.85
2.83Expected goals
1.94Frosinone xG
0.88Sampdoria xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Frosinone 1.9 – 0.9 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frosinone to win✓
59%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Frosinone or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Frosinone (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Frosinone -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Frosinone to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Frosinone ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Frosinone / FT Frosinone✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Frosinone – last 4
DDDW
4 Mar
vs Pescara
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Empoli
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Spezia
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Sampdoria – last 3
DLL
4 Mar
@ Juve Stabia
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bari
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Mantova
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frosinone and Sampdoria.
What is the prediction for Frosinone vs Sampdoria?
Our pick is Frosinone or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Frosinone vs Sampdoria?
On our numbers Frosinone have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sampdoria 20%.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Sampdoria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Sampdoria?
Our predicted score is Frosinone 1–0 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Frosinone vs Sampdoria?
Frosinone vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Benito Stirpe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pescara4
Bari0