Carrarese vs Palermo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Sunday 8 March: Carrarese v Palermo in the Serie B, played at Stadio dei Marmi. In the table, Carrarese are 17th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Palermo are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Palermo, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mantova, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carrarese 1.0 xG, Palermo 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carrarese 26%, draw 25%, Palermo 48%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carrarese 1–1 Palermo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carrarese26%fair 3.80 · @3.35
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.30
Palermo48%fair 2.07 · @2.12
2.61Expected goals
1.03Carrarese xG
1.57Palermo xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Carrarese 1.0 – 1.6 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
48%
2.07
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.75
Draw no bet
Palermo (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Carrarese +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Palermo to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Carrarese – last 2
DD
4 Mar
vs Catanzaro
3–3
D
1 Mar
@ Mantova
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Palermo – last 3
WLW
4 Mar
vs Mantova
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Pescara
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Sudtirol
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrarese and Palermo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Carrarese vs Palermo?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Palermo 48%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Palermo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Palermo?
Carrarese vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Frosinone3
Pescara4
Bari0