Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultFrosinone to win ✓61% · @1.46
Double chanceFrosinone or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.18
Frosinone vs Bari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 18 March the Serie B brings Frosinone against Bari at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Frosinone, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sampdoria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Bari, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Pescara, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Frosinone 1.8 xG, Bari 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Frosinone 61%, draw 22%, Bari 17%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Frosinone 1–0 Bari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Frosinone61%fair 1.63 · @1.46
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.40
Bari17%fair 6.00 · @6.40
2.72Expected goals
1.81Frosinone xG
0.91Bari xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Frosinone 1.8 – 0.9 Bari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frosinone to win✓
61%
1.63
1.46
Double chance
Frosinone or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Draw no bet
Frosinone (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Bari +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.22
First team to score
Frosinone to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Frosinone ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Frosinone / FT Frosinone✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Frosinone – last 5
WDDDW
8 Mar
vs Sampdoria
3–0
W
4 Mar
vs Pescara
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Empoli
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Spezia
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Bari – last 5
LWWDL
8 Mar
@ Pescara
0–4
L
4 Mar
vs Empoli
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Sampdoria
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Padova
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Sudtirol
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frosinone and Bari.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Frosinone vs Bari?
On our numbers Frosinone have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bari 17%.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Bari?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Bari?
Our predicted score is Frosinone 1–0 Bari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Frosinone vs Bari?
Frosinone vs Bari (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Benito Stirpe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carrarese2
Sampdoria0
Pescara3
Virtus Entella0
Avellino3
Sudtirol2