Palermo vs Avellino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Palermo welcome Avellino to Stadio Renzo Barbera for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 5 April (18:30 WAT). In the table, Palermo are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Avellino are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Palermo, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Juve Stabia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Avellino, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sampdoria, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Palermo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Avellino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palermo 1.9 xG, Avellino 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palermo 61%, draw 21%, Avellino 18%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palermo 1–1 Avellino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palermo61%fair 1.65 · @1.52
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.00
Avellino18%fair 5.50 · @6.00
2.91Expected goals
1.92Palermo xG
0.99Avellino xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.9 – 1.0 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
61%
1.65
1.52
Double chance
Palermo or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Palermo (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Avellino +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
First team to score
Palermo to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Palermo ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Palermo – last 5
DWWLW
17 Mar
vs Juve Stabia
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Mantova
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Pescara
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Sudtirol
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 6
LWWLDL
22 Mar
@ Sampdoria
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Sudtirol
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Virtus Entella
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Venezia
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Reggiana
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Pescara
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palermo and Avellino.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Palermo vs Avellino?
On our numbers Palermo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Avellino 18%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Avellino?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Palermo 1–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Avellino?
Palermo vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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