Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultFrosinone to win ✓64% · @1.50
Double chanceFrosinone or draw ✓83% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Frosinone vs Padova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the Serie B brings Frosinone against Padova at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT.
Current form
Frosinone, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sudtirol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Padova, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Venezia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Frosinone, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Padova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Frosinone 2.1 xG, Padova 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Frosinone 64%, draw 20%, Padova 17%.
Lower-risk option: Frosinone or draw (83%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Frosinone to win (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Frosinone 2–0 Padova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Frosinone64%fair 1.57 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.45
Padova17%fair 5.95 · @5.60
3.06Expected goals
2.10Frosinone xG
0.96Padova xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Frosinone 2.1 – 1.0 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frosinone to win✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Double chance
Frosinone or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.57
Draw no bet
Frosinone (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Frosinone -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
First team to score
Frosinone to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Frosinone ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Frosinone / FT Frosinone✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Frosinone – last 6
WWWDDD
22 Mar
@ Sudtirol
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Bari
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Sampdoria
3–0
W
4 Mar
vs Pescara
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Empoli
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Padova – last 3
LDD
17 Mar
@ Venezia
1–3
L
3 Mar
vs Spezia
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Bari
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frosinone and Padova.
Our pick is Frosinone to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Frosinone vs Padova?
On our numbers Frosinone have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Padova 17%.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Padova?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Frosinone 2–0 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Frosinone vs Padova?
Frosinone vs Padova (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Benito Stirpe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
