Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSochaux to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceSochaux or draw ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83
Aubagne vs Sochaux: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sochaux travel to face Aubagne on Friday 20 March in the National 1, with Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.
Current form
Aubagne, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dijon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Sochaux, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Concarneau, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Sochaux, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.6 for Aubagne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aubagne 0.9 xG, Sochaux 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aubagne 27%, draw 28%, Sochaux 45%.
Lower-risk option: Sochaux or draw (73%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aubagne 0–1 Sochaux. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aubagne27%fair 3.68 · @3.25
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.20
Sochaux45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
2.24Expected goals
0.95Aubagne xG
1.30Sochaux xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Aubagne 0.9 – 1.3 Sochaux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sochaux to win✓
45%
2.22
2.10
Double chance
Sochaux or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Sochaux (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Aubagne +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sochaux to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sochaux / FT Sochaux✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.83
–
Recent results
Aubagne – last 5
LLLLW
13 Mar
@ Dijon
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Versailles
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Quevilly
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sochaux – last 4
WWWD
13 Mar
vs Concarneau
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Villefranche
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Caen
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Sochaux.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aubagne vs Sochaux?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sochaux 45%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Sochaux?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Sochaux?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 0–1 Sochaux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Sochaux?
Aubagne vs Sochaux (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
