Concarneau vs Valenciennes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Concarneau welcome Valenciennes to Stade Guy Piriou for a National 1 fixture on Friday 20 March (19:30 WAT). In the table, Concarneau are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Valenciennes are 15th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Concarneau, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sochaux, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Valenciennes, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Villefranche, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Concarneau 1.5 xG, Valenciennes 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Concarneau 45%, draw 26%, Valenciennes 29%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Concarneau 1–1 Valenciennes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Concarneau45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.20
Valenciennes29%fair 3.43 · @2.95
2.50Expected goals
1.46Concarneau xG
1.04Valenciennes xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Concarneau 1.5 – 1.0 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concarneau to win✗
45%
2.21
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Concarneau (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Valenciennes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Concarneau to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concarneau / FT Concarneau✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Concarneau – last 4
LDWL
13 Mar
@ Sochaux
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Dijon
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Fleury 91
4–0
W
20 Feb
vs Versailles
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Valenciennes – last 3
WDL
6 Mar
@ Villefranche
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Gobelins
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Stade Briochin
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concarneau and Valenciennes.
What is the prediction for Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
On our numbers Concarneau have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Valenciennes 29%.
How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
Our predicted score is Concarneau 1–1 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
Concarneau vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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