Concarneau vs Gobelins: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Thursday 30 April: Concarneau v Gobelins in the National 1, played at Stade Guy Piriou. In the table, Concarneau are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Gobelins are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Concarneau, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Stade Briochin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Gobelins, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Villefranche, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Concarneau 1.5 xG, Gobelins 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Concarneau 54%, draw 26%, Gobelins 19%.
Lower-risk option: Concarneau or draw (81%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Concarneau 1–0 Gobelins. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Concarneau54%fair 1.84 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.77 · @3.35
Gobelins19%fair 5.19 · @4.40
2.32Expected goals
1.47Concarneau xG
0.85Gobelins xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Concarneau 1.5 – 0.8 Gobelins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concarneau to win✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Double chance
Concarneau or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.90
Draw no bet
Concarneau (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Gobelins +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Concarneau to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concarneau / FT Concarneau✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
Concarneau – last 6
WDDLLL
24 Apr
@ Stade Briochin
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Rouen
0–0
D
10 Apr
@ Orleans
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Le Puy Foot
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Chateauroux
1–3
L
20 Mar
vs Valenciennes
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gobelins – last 6
LLLWDL
17 Apr
@ Villefranche
1–3
L
10 Apr
vs Caen
0–3
L
3 Apr
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Rouen
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Orleans
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concarneau and Gobelins.
What is the prediction for Concarneau vs Gobelins?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Concarneau vs Gobelins?
On our numbers Concarneau have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gobelins 19%.
How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Gobelins?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Gobelins?
Our predicted score is Concarneau 1–0 Gobelins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Concarneau vs Gobelins?
Concarneau vs Gobelins (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon1
Chateauroux2