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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dijon v Chateauroux: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Gaston-Gérard

Dijon

WDWLW
1–2
FT
Dijon 67%Draw 20%Chateauroux 13% Expected goals 2.15 – 0.88
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultDijon to win ✗67% · @1.40
Double chanceDijon or draw ✗87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Dijon vs Chateauroux: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chateauroux travel to face Dijon on Thursday 30 April in the National 1, with Stade Gaston-Gérard the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT.

Current form

Dijon, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Valenciennes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Chateauroux, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fleury 91, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dijon, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Chateauroux.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dijon 2.1 xG, Chateauroux 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dijon 67%, draw 20%, Chateauroux 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dijon 2–0 Chateauroux. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dijon67%fair 1.49 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.00
Chateauroux13%fair 7.64 · @7.40
3.03Expected goals
2.15Dijon xG
0.88Chateauroux xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Dijon 2.1 – 0.9 Chateauroux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDijon to win ✗67%1.491.40
Double chanceDijon or draw ✗87%1.151.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.85
Draw no betDijon (draw no bet) ✗84%1.19–
Asian handicapDijon -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreDijon to score first67%1.48–
Half-time resultDijon ahead at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dijon / FT Dijon ✗43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Dijon – last 6

WDWLWW
24 Apr@ Valenciennes1–0W
17 Aprvs Sochaux0–0D
10 Aprvs Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
3 Apr@ Fleury 911–3L
27 Marvs Versailles3–1W
19 Mar@ Quevilly1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chateauroux – last 6

LLLDWL
24 Aprvs Fleury 910–2L
17 Apr@ Versailles0–4L
10 Aprvs Quevilly3–5L
3 Apr@ Aubagne1–1D
27 Marvs Concarneau3–1W
17 Mar@ Stade Briochin0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dijon and Chateauroux.

Dijon vs Chateauroux head-to-head page →

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dijon vs Chateauroux?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Dijon vs Chateauroux?

On our numbers Dijon have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chateauroux 13%.

How many goals will there be in Dijon vs Chateauroux?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dijon vs Chateauroux?

Our predicted score is Dijon 2–0 Chateauroux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Dijon vs Chateauroux?

Dijon vs Chateauroux (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston-Gérard.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.