Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Bayonne to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBayonne to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceBayonne or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.05
Poitiers vs Bayonne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Wednesday 18 March: Poitiers v Bayonne in the National 2 Group A, played at Stade Michel-Amand.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Poitiers 0.7 xG, Bayonne 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Poitiers 19%, draw 22%, Bayonne 59%.
Lower-risk option: Bayonne or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Price worth noting: Bayonne to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bayonne or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poitiers 0–1 Bayonne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Poitiers19%fair 5.23 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Bayonne59%fair 1.70 · @1.90
2.22Expected goals
0.70Poitiers xG
1.52Bayonne xG
42%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–213%
1–112%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Poitiers 0.7 – 1.5 Bayonne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayonne to win✓
59%
1.70
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Bayonne or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Bayonne (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Poitiers +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Bayonne to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayonne / FT Bayonne✓
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.05
–
Recent results
Poitiers – last 1
D
6 Mar
vs Avranches
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bayonne – last 2
WW
6 Mar
@ Chauray
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Angoulême
5–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poitiers and Bayonne.
Our pick is Bayonne or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Poitiers vs Bayonne?
On our numbers Poitiers have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bayonne 59%.
How many goals will there be in Poitiers vs Bayonne?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poitiers vs Bayonne?
Our predicted score is Poitiers 0–1 Bayonne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Poitiers vs Bayonne?
Poitiers vs Bayonne (National 2 Group A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Michel-Amand.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Saint-Malo2
Avranches0