Value bet: Avranches to win @ 3.75 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSaint-Malo to win ✓42% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.06
Saint-Malo vs Avranches: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 18 March the National 2 Group A brings Saint-Malo against Avranches at Stade de Marville. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saint-Malo 1.1 xG, Avranches 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saint-Malo 42%, draw 27%, Avranches 31%.
Price worth noting: Avranches to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saint-Malo 1–1 Avranches. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saint-Malo42%fair 2.38 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.25
Avranches31%fair 3.26 · @3.75
2.31Expected goals
1.11Saint-Malo xG
1.20Avranches xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Saint-Malo 1.1 – 1.2 Avranches expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint-Malo to win✓
42%
2.38
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Saint-Malo (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Saint-Malo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Avranches to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avranches / FT Avranches✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.06
–
Recent results
Saint-Malo – last 1
W
27 Feb
@ Les Herbiers
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Avranches – last 2
LD
13 Mar
vs La Roche VF
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Poitiers
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saint-Malo and Avranches.
What is the prediction for Saint-Malo vs Avranches?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Saint-Malo vs Avranches?
On our numbers Saint-Malo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Avranches 31%.
How many goals will there be in Saint-Malo vs Avranches?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saint-Malo vs Avranches?
Our predicted score is Saint-Malo 1–1 Avranches, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Saint-Malo vs Avranches?
Saint-Malo vs Avranches (National 2 Group A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Marville.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Poitiers0
Bayonne2