Weymouth v Dorchester Town Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultWeymouth to win ✗54% · @1.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.50

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57

Weymouth vs Dorchester Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Weymouth welcome Dorchester Town to Bob Lucas Stadium for a Non League Premier Southern South fixture on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Dorchester Town, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Berkhamsted, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Weymouth 2.1 xG, Dorchester Town 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Weymouth 54%, draw 22%, Dorchester Town 23%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Weymouth 2–1 Dorchester Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Weymouth54%fair 1.84 · @1.80

Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40

Dorchester Town23%fair 4.31 · @3.60

3.42Expected goals

2.07Weymouth xG

1.35Dorchester Town xG

62%Both score

66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

1–19%

2–07%

1–07%

3–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Weymouth 2.1 – 1.4 Dorchester Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Weymouth	Dorchester Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Southern South average	-5%	-5%
Goals conceded vs average	+1%	-3%
Our expected goals here	2.21	1.51

Weymouth

Dorchester Town

Attack vs Non League Premier Southern South average

-5%

Goals conceded vs average

+1%

-3%

Our expected goals here

2.21

1.51

Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Southern South result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Weymouth to win ✗	54%	1.84	1.80
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	78%	1.29	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	62%	1.60	1.50
Draw no bet	Weymouth (draw no bet)	70%	1.43	–
Asian handicap	Dorchester Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	86%	1.17	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	66%	1.50	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
First team to score	Weymouth to score first ✗	59%	1.71	–
Half-time result	Weymouth ahead at half-time ✗	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Weymouth / FT Weymouth ✗	34%	2.93	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.57	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Weymouth to win ✗

54%

1.84

1.80

Double chance

Either team to win ✗

78%

1.29

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

62%

1.60

1.50

Draw no bet

Weymouth (draw no bet)

70%

1.43

–

Asian handicap

Dorchester Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

68%

1.48

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✗

86%

1.17

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

66%

1.50

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

55%

1.81

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

74%

1.35

–

First team to score

Weymouth to score first ✗

59%

1.71

–

Half-time result

Weymouth ahead at half-time ✗

41%

2.42

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Weymouth / FT Weymouth ✗

34%

2.93

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10.57

–

3 Apr	@ Bracknell Town	2–1	W
21 Feb	@ Uxbridge	1–5	L

3 Apr	vs Berkhamsted	2–3	L
17 Mar	@ Farnham Town	1–2	L
3 Mar	@ Chertsey Town	1–2	L
24 Feb	@ Tiverton Town	1–0	W
21 Feb	@ Gosport Borough	2–2	D

Weymouth v Dorchester Town: numbers & prediction