Tiverton Town 19%Draw 22%Plymouth Parkway 58%Expected goals 1.28 – 2.32
81%
Betarazi pick
Plymouth Parkway or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Plymouth Parkway to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPlymouth Parkway to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chancePlymouth Parkway or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Tiverton Town vs Plymouth Parkway: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Tiverton Town v Plymouth Parkway in the Non League Premier Southern South, played at Ladysmead.
Current form
Tiverton Town, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sholing, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 5 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Plymouth Parkway, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Basingstoke Town, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Plymouth Parkway, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Tiverton Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tiverton Town 1.3 xG, Plymouth Parkway 2.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tiverton Town 19%, draw 22%, Plymouth Parkway 58%.
Lower-risk option: Plymouth Parkway or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Plymouth Parkway to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Plymouth Parkway or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tiverton Town 1–2 Plymouth Parkway. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tiverton Town19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.30
Plymouth Parkway58%fair 1.71 · @1.83
3.60Expected goals
1.28Tiverton Town xG
2.32Plymouth Parkway xG
63%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tiverton Town 1.3 – 2.3 Plymouth Parkway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tiverton Town
Plymouth Parkway
Attack vs Non League Premier Southern South average
-20%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
+44%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.31
2.50
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Southern South result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plymouth Parkway to win✓
58%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Plymouth Parkway or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Draw no bet
Plymouth Parkway (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Plymouth Parkway -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
First team to score
Plymouth Parkway to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Plymouth Parkway ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plymouth Parkway / FT Plymouth Parkway✗
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Tiverton Town – last 6
LLLLLL
3 Apr
@ Sholing
1–2
L
31 Mar
vs Evesham United
1–2
L
24 Mar
vs Gloucester City
0–6
L
17 Mar
vs Basingstoke Town
0–4
L
3 Mar
vs Havant & Wville
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Dorchester Town
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Plymouth Parkway – last 6
WWWWLL
3 Apr
vs Basingstoke Town
3–0
W
24 Mar
vs Farnham Town
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Chertsey Town
3–1
W
10 Mar
vs Wimborne Town
3–2
W
24 Feb
@ Hanwell Town
2–3
L
17 Feb
vs Walton & Hersham
0–4
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tiverton Town and Plymouth Parkway.
What is the prediction for Tiverton Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our pick is Plymouth Parkway or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tiverton Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
On our numbers Tiverton Town have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Plymouth Parkway 58%.
How many goals will there be in Tiverton Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tiverton Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our predicted score is Tiverton Town 1–2 Plymouth Parkway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Tiverton Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
Tiverton Town vs Plymouth Parkway (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ladysmead.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Walton & Hersham1
Weymouth0
Dorchester Town0
Farnham Town1
Hungerford Town1