Value bet: Guiseley AFC to win @ 3.90 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGainsborough Trinity to win ✓47% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.68
Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 April the Non League Premier Northern brings Gainsborough Trinity against Guiseley AFC at Kal Group Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Gainsborough Trinity are 8th, upper half, on 29 points after 17 matches; Guiseley AFC are 4th (among the top four) with 33.
Current form
Gainsborough Trinity, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stockton Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gainsborough Trinity 1.4 xG, Guiseley AFC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gainsborough Trinity 47%, draw 24%, Guiseley AFC 29%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Guiseley AFC to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gainsborough Trinity 1–1 Guiseley AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gainsborough Trinity47%fair 2.13 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
Guiseley AFC29%fair 3.46 · @3.90
2.76Expected goals
1.42Gainsborough Trinity xG
1.34Guiseley AFC xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Gainsborough Trinity 1.4 – 1.3 Guiseley AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gainsborough Trinity
Guiseley AFC
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average
+12%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-32%
Our expected goals here
1.31
1.74
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gainsborough Trinity to win✓
47%
2.13
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Gainsborough Trinity (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Guiseley AFC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Gainsborough Trinity to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gainsborough Trinity / FT Gainsborough Trinity✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Gainsborough Trinity – last 6
LLWWDW
3 Apr
@ Stockton Town
0–1
L
24 Mar
vs Bamber Bridge
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Hyde United
2–0
W
24 Feb
vs Leek Town
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ United of Manchester
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Whitby Town
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Guiseley AFC – last 2
LW
24 Mar
@ Cleethorpes Town
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Warrington Town
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gainsborough Trinity and Guiseley AFC.
What is the prediction for Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC?
On our numbers Gainsborough Trinity have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guiseley AFC 29%.
How many goals will there be in Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC?
Our predicted score is Gainsborough Trinity 1–1 Guiseley AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC?
Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kal Group Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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