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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Morpeth Town v Whitby Town: numbers & prediction

Non League Premier Northern · England · Craik Park
3–0
FT
Morpeth Town 50%Draw 23%Whitby Town 28% Expected goals 1.97 – 1.24
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultMorpeth Town to win ✓50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Morpeth Town vs Whitby Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Whitby Town travel to face Morpeth Town on Monday 6 April in the Non League Premier Northern, with Craik Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Morpeth Town, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Lancaster City, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Whitby Town, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to United of Manchester, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Whitby Town, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for Morpeth Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Morpeth Town 2.0 xG, Whitby Town 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Morpeth Town 50%, draw 23%, Whitby Town 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morpeth Town 1–1 Whitby Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Morpeth Town50%fair 2.02 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Whitby Town28%fair 3.62 · @2.80
3.21Expected goals
1.97Morpeth Town xG
1.24Whitby Town xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Morpeth Town 2.0 – 1.2 Whitby Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Morpeth TownWhitby Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average-6%-12%
Goals conceded vs average+3%+58%
Our expected goals here2.551.30

Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMorpeth Town to win ✓50%2.022.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.70 ▲
Draw no betMorpeth Town (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapWhitby Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreMorpeth Town to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultMorpeth Town ahead at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Morpeth Town / FT Morpeth Town ✓34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Morpeth Town – last 3

LLL
3 Apr@ Lancaster City0–3L
10 Mar@ Cleethorpes Town1–3L
21 Feb@ Workington0–1L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Whitby Town – last 5

LLWDL
3 Aprvs United of Manchester1–3L
17 Marvs Ashton United1–2L
3 Mar@ Cleethorpes Town3–0W
21 Feb@ Bamber Bridge1–1D
17 Febvs Gainsborough Trinity1–2L
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Morpeth Town and Whitby Town.

Morpeth Town vs Whitby Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Morpeth Town vs Whitby Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Morpeth Town vs Whitby Town?

On our numbers Morpeth Town have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Whitby Town 28%.

How many goals will there be in Morpeth Town vs Whitby Town?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Morpeth Town vs Whitby Town?

Our predicted score is Morpeth Town 1–1 Whitby Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Morpeth Town vs Whitby Town?

Morpeth Town vs Whitby Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Craik Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.