FC Cartagena 43%Draw 28%Sabadell 29%Expected goals 1.34 – 0.91
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Cartagena to win ✗43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
FC Cartagena vs Sabadell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: FC Cartagena v Sabadell in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova.
Current form
FC Cartagena, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sevilla Atletico, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cartagena 1.3 xG, Sabadell 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 35%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cartagena 43%, draw 28%, Sabadell 29%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cartagena 1–1 Sabadell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cartagena43%fair 2.33 · @2.62
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.75
Sabadell29%fair 3.39 · @2.80
2.25Expected goals
1.34FC Cartagena xG
0.91Sabadell xG
53%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–19%
From our goals model: FC Cartagena 1.3 – 0.9 Sabadell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Cartagena
Sabadell
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+6%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.73
0.92
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Cartagena to win✗
43%
2.33
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Cartagena (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Sabadell +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
FC Cartagena to score first✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Cartagena / FT FC Cartagena✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
FC Cartagena – last 3
WWW
25 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Real Murcia
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Marbella
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sabadell – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Sanluqueño
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ibiza
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cartagena and Sabadell.
What is the prediction for FC Cartagena vs Sabadell?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win FC Cartagena vs Sabadell?
On our numbers FC Cartagena have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sabadell 29%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cartagena vs Sabadell?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cartagena vs Sabadell?
Our predicted score is FC Cartagena 1–1 Sabadell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is FC Cartagena vs Sabadell?
FC Cartagena vs Sabadell (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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