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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alcorcon v Algeciras: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo

Alcorcon

LDW
0–0
FT

Algeciras

LDL
Alcorcon 57%Draw 26%Algeciras 17% Expected goals 1.80 – 0.90
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 2.20 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlcorcon to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceAlcorcon or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Alcorcon vs Algeciras: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alcorcon welcome Algeciras to Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 15 March (12:00 WAT). In the table, Alcorcon are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Algeciras are 13th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Alcorcon, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juventud Torremolinos, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Algeciras, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Antequera, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Alcorcon, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Algeciras.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alcorcon 1.8 xG, Algeciras 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alcorcon 57%, draw 26%, Algeciras 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Alcorcon or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.20.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcorcon 1–1 Algeciras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alcorcon57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Algeciras17%fair 5.73 · @4.50
2.71Expected goals
1.80Alcorcon xG
0.90Algeciras xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Alcorcon 1.8 – 0.9 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AlcorconAlgeciras
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average+25%+3%
Goals conceded vs average-2%+5%
Our expected goals here2.171.07

Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlcorcon to win ✗57%1.751.80
Double chanceAlcorcon or draw ✓83%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.802.20 ▲
Draw no betAlcorcon (draw no bet)77%1.31–
Asian handicapAlgeciras +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreAlcorcon to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultAlcorcon ahead at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Alcorcon – last 3

LDW
8 Mar@ Juventud Torremolinos0–1L
22 Feb@ Eldense2–2D
15 Febvs Real Murcia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Algeciras – last 3

LDL
11 Mar@ Antequera0–2L
1 Marvs Teruel0–0D
22 Feb@ Marbella1–4L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alcorcon and Algeciras.

Alcorcon vs Algeciras head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaragoza11731+924
2Villarreal II11641+1122
3Real Murcia11623+420
4Real Jaén11542+419
5Alcorcon11461+918
6Ibiza11533+418
7Hércules11524-117
8FC Cartagena11443+316
9Real Madrid II11443+216
10Huesca11362015
11Gimnastic11434-115
12Antequera11353+214
13Algeciras11425-114
14Sant Andreu11344013
15Atlético Madrid II11254+111
16Europa Fc11317-1110
17Águilas11164-69
18Juventud Torremolinos11155-98
19Rayo Majadahonda11218-77
20Teruel11146-137

More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

League hub
FT Sevilla Atletico1 Antequera1 137%2.40X28%2.75235%2.90 1.2–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@1.95 ✓
FT Tarazona1 Atlético Madrid II4 138%2.90X27%2.75235%2.38 1.4–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.95 ✓
FT Hércules2 Real Murcia0 139%2.30X31%2.62229%3.10 1.1–0.9xG 1XHércules or draw 71%@1.30 ✓
FT Ibiza0 Marbella1 162%1.40X23%3.60215%7.50 1.7–0.8xG 1Ibiza to win 62%@1.40 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alcorcon vs Algeciras?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.

Who will win Alcorcon vs Algeciras?

On our numbers Alcorcon have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Algeciras 17%.

How many goals will there be in Alcorcon vs Algeciras?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alcorcon vs Algeciras?

Our predicted score is Alcorcon 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Alcorcon vs Algeciras?

Alcorcon vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.