Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultIbiza to win ✗62% · @1.40
Double chanceIbiza or draw ✗85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.28
Ibiza vs Marbella: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Ibiza against Marbella at Palladium Can Misses. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT.
Current form
Ibiza, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tarazona, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Marbella, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Murcia, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Ibiza, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Marbella.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ibiza 1.7 xG, Marbella 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ibiza 62%, draw 23%, Marbella 15%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ibiza to win (62%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ibiza 1–0 Marbella. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ibiza62%fair 1.61 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.60
Marbella15%fair 6.66 · @7.50
2.51Expected goals
1.69Ibiza xG
0.82Marbella xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ibiza 1.7 – 0.8 Marbella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ibiza
Marbella
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+7%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.80
1.08
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ibiza to win✗
62%
1.61
1.40
Double chance
Ibiza or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.44
Draw no bet
Ibiza (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Marbella +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Ibiza to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ibiza / FT Ibiza✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.28
–
Recent results
Ibiza – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
vs Tarazona
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Teruel
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Marbella – last 3
DWL
11 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Algeciras
4–1
W
15 Feb
@ FC Cartagena
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ibiza and Marbella.
Our pick is Ibiza to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ibiza vs Marbella?
On our numbers Ibiza have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marbella 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ibiza vs Marbella?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ibiza vs Marbella?
Our predicted score is Ibiza 1–0 Marbella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ibiza vs Marbella?
Ibiza vs Marbella (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Palladium Can Misses.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sevilla Atletico1
Tarazona1