Europa Fc 48%Draw 27%Algeciras 25%Expected goals 1.34 – 1.08
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEuropa Fc to win ✗48% · @1.85
Double chanceEuropa Fc or draw ✗75% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Europa Fc vs Algeciras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Europa Fc welcome Algeciras to Can Drago for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Saturday 28 March (14:00 WAT). In the table, Europa Fc are 16th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Algeciras are 13th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Algeciras, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gimnastic, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Europa Fc 1.3 xG, Algeciras 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Europa Fc 48%, draw 27%, Algeciras 25%.
Lower-risk option: Europa Fc or draw (75%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Europa Fc 1–1 Algeciras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Europa Fc48%fair 2.09 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
Algeciras25%fair 3.95 · @4.10
2.43Expected goals
1.34Europa Fc xG
1.08Algeciras xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Europa Fc 1.3 – 1.1 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Europa Fc
Algeciras
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-27%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.27
1.34
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Europa Fc to win✗
48%
2.09
1.85
Double chance
Europa Fc or draw✗
75%
1.34
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Europa Fc (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Algeciras +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Europa Fc to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Europa Fc / FT Europa Fc✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Europa Fc – last 2
LW
1 Mar
vs Juventud Torremolinos
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Antequera
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Algeciras – last 5
WDLDL
22 Mar
vs Gimnastic
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Alcorcon
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Antequera
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Teruel
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Marbella
1–4
L
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Europa Fc and Algeciras.
What is the prediction for Europa Fc vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Europa Fc vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Europa Fc have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Algeciras 25%.
How many goals will there be in Europa Fc vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Europa Fc vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Europa Fc 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Europa Fc vs Algeciras?
Europa Fc vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Can Drago.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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