Gimnastic vs Juventud Torremolinos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnastic welcome Juventud Torremolinos to Nou Estadi de Tarragona for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Saturday 28 March (16:15 WAT). In the table, Gimnastic are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Juventud Torremolinos are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Gimnastic, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Algeciras, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Juventud Torremolinos, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alcorcon, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Juventud Torremolinos, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Gimnastic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnastic 1.7 xG, Juventud Torremolinos 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnastic 47%, draw 25%, Juventud Torremolinos 28%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnastic 1–1 Juventud Torremolinos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnastic47%fair 2.13 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.00
Juventud Torremolinos28%fair 3.56 · @3.20
2.74Expected goals
1.66Gimnastic xG
1.08Juventud Torremolinos xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Gimnastic 1.7 – 1.1 Juventud Torremolinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gimnastic
Juventud Torremolinos
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+1%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.90
1.03
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnastic to win
47%
2.13
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Gimnastic (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Juventud Torremolinos +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Gimnastic to score first
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnastic / FT Gimnastic
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Gimnastic – last 4
LDLW
22 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Antequera
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Juventud Torremolinos – last 5
WWDDW
8 Mar
vs Alcorcon
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–2
W
25 Feb
vs Teruel
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Hércules
2–2
D
17 Feb
@ hodd
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnastic and Juventud Torremolinos.
What is the prediction for Gimnastic vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Juventud Torremolinos?
On our numbers Gimnastic have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventud Torremolinos 28%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnastic vs Juventud Torremolinos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnastic vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Our predicted score is Gimnastic 1–1 Juventud Torremolinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gimnastic vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Gimnastic vs Juventud Torremolinos (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Nou Estadi de Tarragona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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