Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultHércules to win58% · @1.40
Double chanceHércules or draw82% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.55
Hércules vs Sanluqueño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Hércules v Sanluqueño in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio José Rico Pérez.
Current form
Hércules, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cacahuatique, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sanluqueño, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Murcia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hércules 1.6 xG, Sanluqueño 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hércules 58%, draw 24%, Sanluqueño 18%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hércules 1–0 Sanluqueño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hércules58%fair 1.72 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @4.00
Sanluqueño18%fair 5.64 · @7.50
2.54Expected goals
1.60Hércules xG
0.94Sanluqueño xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Hércules 1.6 – 0.9 Sanluqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hércules
Sanluqueño
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-16%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.51
1.17
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hércules to win
58%
1.72
1.40
Double chance
Hércules or draw
82%
1.22
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Hércules (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Sanluqueño +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Hércules to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hércules / FT Hércules
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Hércules – last 6
LLWLWD
9 Apr
vs Cacahuatique
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Alcorcon
0–4
L
29 Mar
vs Marbella
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Real Betis II
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Real Murcia
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sanluqueño – last 3
WLL
6 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sabadell
0–2
L
13 Feb
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hércules and Sanluqueño.
What is the prediction for Hércules vs Sanluqueño?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hércules vs Sanluqueño?
On our numbers Hércules have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sanluqueño 18%.
How many goals will there be in Hércules vs Sanluqueño?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hércules vs Sanluqueño?
Our predicted score is Hércules 1–0 Sanluqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hércules vs Sanluqueño?
Hércules vs Sanluqueño (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio José Rico Pérez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
