Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVillarreal II to win ✓52% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Villarreal II vs Algeciras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Algeciras travel to face Villarreal II on Sunday 12 April in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio de la Ceramica the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Villarreal II are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; Algeciras are 13th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Villarreal II, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sabadell, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Algeciras, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ibiza, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal II 1.8 xG, Algeciras 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal II 52%, draw 24%, Algeciras 25%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Villarreal II to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal II 1–1 Algeciras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villarreal II52%fair 1.94 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.00
Algeciras25%fair 4.06 · @3.25
2.70Expected goals
1.76Villarreal II xG
0.93Algeciras xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Villarreal II 1.8 – 0.9 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Villarreal II
Algeciras
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+41%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+5%
Our expected goals here
2.45
0.95
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal II to win✓
52%
1.94
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Villarreal II (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Algeciras +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Villarreal II to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Villarreal II – last 4
DLWW
29 Mar
vs Sabadell
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Teruel
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Eldense
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Real Betis II
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Algeciras – last 6
DWWDLD
5 Apr
vs Ibiza
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs Gimnastic
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Alcorcon
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Antequera
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Teruel
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal II and Algeciras.
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Algeciras 25%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Villarreal II 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Villarreal II vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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