Value bet: Alcorcon to win @ 1.83 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlcorcon to win ✗64% · @1.83
Double chanceAlcorcon or draw ✗85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Alcorcon vs Europa Fc: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Europa Fc travel to face Alcorcon on Friday 1 May in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo the venue – the ball rolls at 15:15 WAT. In the table, Alcorcon are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Europa Fc are 16th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Alcorcon, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Villarreal II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Europa Fc, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Murcia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Alcorcon, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.6 for Europa Fc.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcorcon 2.0 xG, Europa Fc 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcorcon 64%, draw 21%, Europa Fc 15%.
Lower-risk option: Alcorcon or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Alcorcon to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcorcon 2–0 Europa Fc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcorcon64%fair 1.57 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.20
Europa Fc15%fair 6.66 · @4.10
2.71Expected goals
1.98Alcorcon xG
0.73Europa Fc xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alcorcon 2.0 – 0.7 Europa Fc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alcorcon
Europa Fc
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+25%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+23%
Our expected goals here
2.55
0.76
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcorcon to win✗
64%
1.57
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Alcorcon or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Alcorcon (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Alcorcon -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Alcorcon to score first✗
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Alcorcon ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Alcorcon – last 6
LWDLDW
19 Apr
vs Villarreal II
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Hércules
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Algeciras
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Juventud Torremolinos
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Eldense
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Europa Fc – last 5
LLLLW
26 Apr
vs Real Murcia
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Eldense
0–3
L
28 Mar
vs Algeciras
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Juventud Torremolinos
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Antequera
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcorcon and Europa Fc.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Europa Fc?
On our numbers Alcorcon have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Europa Fc 15%.
How many goals will there be in Alcorcon vs Europa Fc?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcorcon vs Europa Fc?
Our predicted score is Alcorcon 2–0 Europa Fc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alcorcon vs Europa Fc?
Alcorcon vs Europa Fc (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
