Algeciras vs FC Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 1 May the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Algeciras against FC Cartagena at Estadio Nuevo Mirador. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, Algeciras are 13th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; FC Cartagena are 8th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Algeciras, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Villarreal II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
FC Cartagena, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tarazona, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Cartagena, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Algeciras.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Algeciras 1.3 xG, FC Cartagena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Algeciras 39%, draw 28%, FC Cartagena 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Algeciras 1–1 FC Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Algeciras39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.62
FC Cartagena33%fair 3.03 · @2.75
2.36Expected goals
1.28Algeciras xG
1.08FC Cartagena xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Algeciras 1.3 – 1.1 FC Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Algeciras
FC Cartagena
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+3%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.53
1.17
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeciras to win✗
39%
2.59
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.40
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Algeciras (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
FC Cartagena +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Algeciras to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeciras / FT Algeciras✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.98
–
Recent results
Algeciras – last 6
LDWWDL
12 Apr
@ Villarreal II
0–4
L
5 Apr
vs Ibiza
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs Gimnastic
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Alcorcon
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Antequera
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Cartagena – last 5
DDWWW
8 Mar
@ Tarazona
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Real Murcia
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Marbella
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeciras and FC Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Algeciras vs FC Cartagena?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Algeciras vs FC Cartagena?
On our numbers Algeciras have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and FC Cartagena 33%.
How many goals will there be in Algeciras vs FC Cartagena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeciras vs FC Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Algeciras 1–1 FC Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Algeciras vs FC Cartagena?
Algeciras vs FC Cartagena (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
