Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Antequera to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAntequera to win60% · @1.95
Double chanceAntequera or draw86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.85
Antequera vs Teruel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Antequera against Teruel at Estadio El Maulí. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Antequera are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Teruel are 20th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Antequera, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Real Murcia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Teruel, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tarazona, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antequera 1.7 xG, Teruel 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antequera 60%, draw 26%, Teruel 14%.
Lower-risk option: Antequera or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Antequera to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antequera 1–0 Teruel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antequera60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @2.75
Teruel14%fair 7.23 · @4.33
2.30Expected goals
1.70Antequera xG
0.60Teruel xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Antequera 1.7 – 0.6 Teruel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Antequera
Teruel
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+15%
-45%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.98
0.55
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antequera to win
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Antequera or draw
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.70
Draw no bet
Antequera (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Antequera -0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Antequera to score first
66%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Antequera ahead at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antequera / FT Antequera
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.85
–
Recent results
Antequera – last 6
WDWWLW
17 Apr
@ Real Murcia
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Algeciras
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Gimnastic
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Europa Fc
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Hércules
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Teruel – last 6
DDWDDW
3 May
vs Tarazona
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Villarreal II
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ibiza
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antequera and Teruel.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Antequera vs Teruel?
On our numbers Antequera have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Teruel 14%.
How many goals will there be in Antequera vs Teruel?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antequera vs Teruel?
Our predicted score is Antequera 1–0 Teruel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Antequera vs Teruel?
Antequera vs Teruel (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Maulí.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.