Value bet: Marbella to win @ 3.30 – our chance 38% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventud Torremolinos to win ✓40% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.22
Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Marbella v Juventud Torremolinos in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Banús Football Center.
Current form
Marbella, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gimnastic, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Juventud Torremolinos, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atlético Madrid II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marbella 1.6 xG, Juventud Torremolinos 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marbella 38%, draw 22%, Juventud Torremolinos 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Marbella to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marbella 1–1 Juventud Torremolinos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marbella38%fair 2.65 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.55
Juventud Torremolinos40%fair 2.50 · @1.95
2.76Expected goals
1.57Marbella xG
1.19Juventud Torremolinos xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Marbella 1.6 – 1.2 Juventud Torremolinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marbella
Juventud Torremolinos
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+13%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+13%
Our expected goals here
2.12
0.97
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud Torremolinos to win✓
40%
2.50
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
Juventud Torremolinos (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Juventud Torremolinos +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Marbella to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marbella / FT Marbella✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.22
–
Recent results
Marbella – last 6
WLLWWD
19 Apr
vs Gimnastic
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Atlético Madrid II
4–5
L
29 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Sevilla Atletico
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Ibiza
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Juventud Torremolinos – last 6
WLLWWD
3 May
vs Atlético Madrid II
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Real Betis II
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Ibiza
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Alcorcon
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–2
W
25 Feb
vs Teruel
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Juventud Torremolinos.
What is the prediction for Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos?
On our numbers Marbella have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventud Torremolinos 40%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Our predicted score is Marbella 1–1 Juventud Torremolinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Banús Football Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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