Barakaldo 52%Draw 29%Osasuna II 19%Expected goals 1.32 – 0.81
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarakaldo to win ✓52% · @1.60
Double chanceBarakaldo or draw ✓81% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Barakaldo vs Osasuna II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Osasuna II travel to face Barakaldo on Sunday 22 February in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Campo de Lasesarre the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barakaldo 1.3 xG, Osasuna II 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barakaldo 52%, draw 29%, Osasuna II 19%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barakaldo 1–0 Osasuna II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barakaldo52%fair 1.92 · @1.60
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @3.45
Osasuna II19%fair 5.33 · @5.60
2.13Expected goals
1.32Barakaldo xG
0.81Osasuna II xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Barakaldo 1.3 – 0.8 Osasuna II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barakaldo
Osasuna II
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-18%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.00
0.78
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win✓
52%
1.92
1.60
Double chance
Barakaldo or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Barakaldo (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Osasuna II +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Barakaldo to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
Barakaldo – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Zamora
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Osasuna II – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barakaldo and Osasuna II.
What is the prediction for Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?
On our numbers Barakaldo have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Osasuna II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?
Our predicted score is Barakaldo 1–0 Osasuna II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?
Barakaldo vs Osasuna II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Lasesarre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
