Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.12
Cacereño vs Ponferradina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Cacereño v Ponferradina in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Principe Felipe. In the table, Cacereño are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Ponferradina are 11th (lower half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cacereño 0.8 xG, Ponferradina 0.8 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cacereño 31%, draw 33%, Ponferradina 36%.
Lower-risk option: Ponferradina or draw (69%) at 1.36.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ponferradina or draw (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cacereño 0–0 Ponferradina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cacereño31%fair 3.23 · @2.70
Draw33%fair 3.00 · @2.80
Ponferradina36%fair 2.80 · @2.45
1.61Expected goals
0.79Cacereño xG
0.82Ponferradina xG
46%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–020%
0–116%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Cacereño 0.8 – 0.8 Ponferradina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cacereño
Ponferradina
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-27%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-37%
Our expected goals here
0.64
0.60
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ponferradina to win✗
36%
2.80
2.45
Double chance
Ponferradina or draw✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Draw no bet
Ponferradina (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Cacereño +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Ponferradina to score first✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.12
–
Recent results
Cacereño – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Mérida AD
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ponferradina – last 2
WW
1 Mar
@ Real Madrid II
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs CF Talavera
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cacereño and Ponferradina.
What is the prediction for Cacereño vs Ponferradina?
Our pick is Ponferradina or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Cacereño vs Ponferradina?
On our numbers Cacereño have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Ponferradina 36%.
How many goals will there be in Cacereño vs Ponferradina?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cacereño vs Ponferradina?
Our predicted score is Cacereño 0–0 Ponferradina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Cacereño vs Ponferradina?
Cacereño vs Ponferradina (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Principe Felipe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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