Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barakaldo travel to face Unionistas de Salamanca on Sunday 15 March in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Reina Sofia the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Unionistas de Salamanca are 15th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Barakaldo are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Barakaldo, last 4: WLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ourense CF, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Unionistas de Salamanca 1.2 xG, Barakaldo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Unionistas de Salamanca 38%, draw 29%, Barakaldo 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Unionistas de Salamanca 1–1 Barakaldo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Unionistas de Salamanca38%fair 2.65 · @2.30
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.75
Barakaldo33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
2.26Expected goals
1.17Unionistas de Salamanca xG
1.09Barakaldo xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Unionistas de Salamanca 1.2 – 1.1 Barakaldo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Unionistas de Salamanca
Barakaldo
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-3%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-20%
Our expected goals here
1.07
1.03
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Unionistas de Salamanca to win✗
38%
2.65
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Unionistas de Salamanca (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Barakaldo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Unionistas de Salamanca to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Unionistas de Salamanca / FT Unionistas de Salamanca✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.85
–
Recent results
Unionistas de Salamanca – last 2
DW
8 Mar
@ Pontevedra
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Osasuna II
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Barakaldo – last 4
WLWD
8 Mar
vs Ourense CF
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Arenas Getxo
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Osasuna II
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Zamora
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unionistas de Salamanca and Barakaldo.
What is the prediction for Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo?
On our numbers Unionistas de Salamanca have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Barakaldo 33%.
How many goals will there be in Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo?
Our predicted score is Unionistas de Salamanca 1–1 Barakaldo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo?
Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Reina Sofia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Osasuna II0