Value bet: Celta de Vigo II to win @ 2.85 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCelta de Vigo II to win ✗38% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Arenteiro vs Celta de Vigo II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Friday 20 March: Arenteiro v Celta de Vigo II in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio de Espiñedo.
Current form
Celta de Vigo II, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tenerife, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arenteiro 1.2 xG, Celta de Vigo II 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arenteiro 36%, draw 26%, Celta de Vigo II 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Celta de Vigo II to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arenteiro 1–1 Celta de Vigo II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arenteiro36%fair 2.78 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.20
Celta de Vigo II38%fair 2.63 · @2.85
2.53Expected goals
1.22Arenteiro xG
1.31Celta de Vigo II xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Arenteiro 1.2 – 1.3 Celta de Vigo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arenteiro
Celta de Vigo II
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-18%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.27
1.42
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta de Vigo II to win✗
38%
2.63
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.90
Draw no bet
Celta de Vigo II (draw no bet)
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Arenteiro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Celta de Vigo II to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta de Vigo II / FT Celta de Vigo II✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Arenteiro – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ CF Talavera
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo II – last 4
DLWW
13 Mar
vs Tenerife
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Guadalajara
0–3
L
20 Feb
@ Racing Ferrol
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Real Avilés
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arenteiro and Celta de Vigo II.
What is the prediction for Arenteiro vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arenteiro vs Celta de Vigo II?
On our numbers Arenteiro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Celta de Vigo II 38%.
How many goals will there be in Arenteiro vs Celta de Vigo II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arenteiro vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our predicted score is Arenteiro 1–1 Celta de Vigo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arenteiro vs Celta de Vigo II?
Arenteiro vs Celta de Vigo II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Espiñedo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Athletic Club II1
Mérida AD1