Athletic Club II 44%Draw 27%Mérida AD 30%Expected goals 1.37 – 1.14
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Club II to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Athletic Club II welcome Mérida AD to Lezama Facilities for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Friday 20 March (19:00 WAT). In the table, Athletic Club II are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Mérida AD are 8th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Athletic Club II, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Osasuna II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club II 1.4 xG, Mérida AD 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club II 44%, draw 27%, Mérida AD 30%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club II 1–1 Mérida AD. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club II44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.00
Mérida AD30%fair 3.38 · @3.50
2.51Expected goals
1.37Athletic Club II xG
1.14Mérida AD xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Athletic Club II 1.4 – 1.1 Mérida AD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Athletic Club II
Mérida AD
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
+2%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.46
1.30
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club II to win✗
44%
2.28
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Draw no bet
Athletic Club II (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Mérida AD +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Athletic Club II to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club II / FT Athletic Club II✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
Athletic Club II – last 5
WDLWL
15 Mar
@ Osasuna II
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Lugo
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Zamora
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Real Madrid II
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Mérida AD – last 2
LW
13 Mar
vs Guadalajara
1–4
L
22 Feb
vs Cacereño
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club II and Mérida AD.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD?
On our numbers Athletic Club II have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mérida AD 30%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club II 1–1 Mérida AD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD?
Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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