Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.69
Cacereño vs Lugo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lugo travel to face Cacereño on Sunday 29 March in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio Principe Felipe the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Cacereño are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Lugo are 1st (leading the league) with 28. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lugo, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arenas Getxo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cacereño 0.9 xG, Lugo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cacereño 33%, draw 29%, Lugo 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cacereño 0–1 Lugo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cacereño33%fair 3.06 · @2.50
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @3.00
Lugo38%fair 2.62 · @2.70
1.99Expected goals
0.90Cacereño xG
1.09Lugo xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cacereño 0.9 – 1.1 Lugo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cacereño
Lugo
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-27%
+24%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-21%
Our expected goals here
0.80
1.11
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugo to win✓
38%
2.62
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Lugo (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Cacereño +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Lugo to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lugo / FT Lugo✓
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.69
–
Recent results
Cacereño – last 2
DL
15 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mérida AD
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lugo – last 3
DWW
22 Mar
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Athletic Club II
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Guadalajara
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cacereño and Lugo.
Our pick is Either team to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cacereño vs Lugo?
On our numbers Cacereño have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Lugo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cacereño vs Lugo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cacereño vs Lugo?
Our predicted score is Cacereño 0–1 Lugo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cacereño vs Lugo?
Cacereño vs Lugo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Principe Felipe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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