Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Lugo vs Osasuna II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Lugo v Osasuna II in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Anxo Carro.
Current form
Lugo, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cacereño, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Osasuna II, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Guadalajara, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lugo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.6 for Osasuna II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lugo 1.4 xG, Osasuna II 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lugo 56%, draw 26%, Osasuna II 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lugo to win (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lugo 1–0 Osasuna II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lugo56%fair 1.78 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.35
Osasuna II18%fair 5.63 · @4.75
2.15Expected goals
1.45Lugo xG
0.70Osasuna II xG
42%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Lugo 1.4 – 0.7 Osasuna II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lugo
Osasuna II
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
+24%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.51
0.77
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugo to win✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Double chance
Lugo or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Lugo (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Osasuna II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Lugo to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lugo / FT Lugo✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.92
–
Recent results
Lugo – last 4
WDWW
29 Mar
@ Cacereño
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Athletic Club II
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Guadalajara
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Osasuna II – last 5
WLLLL
29 Mar
vs Guadalajara
4–3
W
22 Mar
@ Tenerife
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Athletic Club II
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Barakaldo
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugo and Osasuna II.
Our pick is Lugo to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Lugo vs Osasuna II?
On our numbers Lugo have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Osasuna II 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lugo vs Osasuna II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugo vs Osasuna II?
Our predicted score is Lugo 1–0 Osasuna II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lugo vs Osasuna II?
Lugo vs Osasuna II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Anxo Carro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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