Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Avilés to win ✓46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.49
Real Avilés vs Ourense CF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ourense CF travel to face Real Avilés on Sunday 5 April in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.
Current form
Real Avilés, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Zamora, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Ourense CF, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ponferradina, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Avilés 1.6 xG, Ourense CF 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Avilés 46%, draw 26%, Ourense CF 28%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Avilés 1–1 Ourense CF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Avilés46%fair 2.17 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.95
Ourense CF28%fair 3.53 · @3.25
2.67Expected goals
1.62Real Avilés xG
1.06Ourense CF xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Real Avilés 1.6 – 1.1 Ourense CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Avilés
Ourense CF
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
+55%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.97
1.05
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Avilés to win✓
46%
2.17
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Avilés (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Ourense CF +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Real Avilés to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Avilés / FT Real Avilés✗
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Real Avilés – last 3
LDL
8 Mar
vs Zamora
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Tenerife
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Celta de Vigo II
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ourense CF – last 3
DLL
29 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Barakaldo
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Guadalajara
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Avilés and Ourense CF.
What is the prediction for Real Avilés vs Ourense CF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Real Avilés vs Ourense CF?
On our numbers Real Avilés have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ourense CF 28%.
How many goals will there be in Real Avilés vs Ourense CF?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Avilés vs Ourense CF?
Our predicted score is Real Avilés 1–1 Ourense CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Real Avilés vs Ourense CF?
Real Avilés vs Ourense CF (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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