Ourense CF 43%Draw 26%Celta de Vigo II 30%Expected goals 1.41 – 1.12
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultOurense CF to win43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.28
Ourense CF vs Celta de Vigo II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Ourense CF v Celta de Vigo II in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio de O Couto.
Current form
Ourense CF, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Madrid II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Celta de Vigo II, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Osasuna II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Celta de Vigo II, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.4 for Ourense CF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ourense CF 1.4 xG, Celta de Vigo II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ourense CF 43%, draw 26%, Celta de Vigo II 30%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ourense CF 1–1 Celta de Vigo II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ourense CF43%fair 2.30 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Celta de Vigo II30%fair 3.30 · @3.25
2.52Expected goals
1.41Ourense CF xG
1.12Celta de Vigo II xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ourense CF 1.4 – 1.1 Celta de Vigo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ourense CF
Celta de Vigo II
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-11%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.36
1.06
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ourense CF to win
43%
2.30
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.71
1.75
Draw no bet
Ourense CF (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Celta de Vigo II +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Ourense CF to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ourense CF / FT Ourense CF
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Ourense CF – last 5
DLDLL
14 Apr
@ Real Madrid II
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Real Avilés
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Barakaldo
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Guadalajara
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo II – last 6
LWLWDD
1 May
vs Osasuna II
0–1
L
17 Apr
vs Cacereño
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Real Madrid II
1–5
L
29 Mar
vs Athletic Club II
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Arenteiro
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Tenerife
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ourense CF and Celta de Vigo II.
What is the prediction for Ourense CF vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Celta de Vigo II?
On our numbers Ourense CF have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Celta de Vigo II 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ourense CF vs Celta de Vigo II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ourense CF vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our predicted score is Ourense CF 1–1 Celta de Vigo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ourense CF vs Celta de Vigo II?
Ourense CF vs Celta de Vigo II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de O Couto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Osasuna II2
CF Talavera1
Lugo1
Zamora3