Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmorebieta to win ✓51% · @1.95
Double chanceAmorebieta or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Amorebieta vs Ejea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Amorebieta welcome Ejea to Campo Municipal de Urritxe for a Segunda División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 15 February (12:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amorebieta 1.5 xG, Ejea 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amorebieta 51%, draw 29%, Ejea 19%.
Lower-risk option: Amorebieta or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Amorebieta or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amorebieta 1–0 Ejea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amorebieta51%fair 1.94 · @1.95
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.80
Ejea19%fair 5.14 · @4.20
2.28Expected goals
1.45Amorebieta xG
0.82Ejea xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Amorebieta 1.5 – 0.8 Ejea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amorebieta to win✓
51%
1.94
1.95
Double chance
Amorebieta or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Amorebieta (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Ejea +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Amorebieta to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amorebieta / FT Amorebieta✓
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Amorebieta
No recent results on record.
Ejea
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and Ejea.
Our pick is Amorebieta or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Ejea?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ejea 19%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs Ejea?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amorebieta vs Ejea?
Our predicted score is Amorebieta 1–0 Ejea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Amorebieta vs Ejea?
Amorebieta vs Ejea (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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