Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.80
Utebo vs Alfaro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Utebo welcome Alfaro to Estadio La Molineta for a Segunda División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 15 February (17:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Utebo 1.5 xG, Alfaro 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Utebo 55%, draw 26%, Alfaro 20%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Utebo to win (55%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Utebo 1–0 Alfaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Utebo55%fair 1.83 · @1.44
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.80
Alfaro20%fair 5.06 · @6.20
2.45Expected goals
1.48Utebo xG
0.97Alfaro xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Utebo 1.5 – 1.0 Alfaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utebo to win✓
55%
1.83
1.44
Double chance
Utebo or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Utebo (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Alfaro +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Utebo to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Utebo / FT Utebo✓
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.80
–
Recent results
Utebo
No recent results on record.
Alfaro
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utebo and Alfaro.
Our pick is Utebo to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Utebo vs Alfaro?
On our numbers Utebo have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Alfaro 20%.
How many goals will there be in Utebo vs Alfaro?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utebo vs Alfaro?
Our predicted score is Utebo 1–0 Alfaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Utebo vs Alfaro?
Utebo vs Alfaro (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Molineta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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