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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Basconia v Amorebieta: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Artunduaga
2–1
FT
Basconia 37%Draw 28%Amorebieta 34% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.13
59%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultBasconia to win ✓37% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.61

Basconia vs Amorebieta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 February the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 brings Basconia against Amorebieta at Estadio Artunduaga. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Basconia 1.2 xG, Amorebieta 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Basconia 37%, draw 28%, Amorebieta 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Basconia 1–1 Amorebieta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Basconia37%fair 2.67 · @2.55
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.85
Amorebieta34%fair 2.93 · @2.70
2.34Expected goals
1.21Basconia xG
1.13Amorebieta xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Basconia 1.2 – 1.1 Amorebieta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBasconia to win ✓37%2.672.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.401.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.93–
Draw no betBasconia (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapAmorebieta +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreBasconia to score first47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Basconia / FT Basconia ✗22%4.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.61–

Recent results

Basconia – last 1

W
15 Feb@ Eibar II3–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Amorebieta – last 1

W
15 Febvs Ejea2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Basconia and Amorebieta.

Basconia vs Amorebieta head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Group 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Basconia vs Amorebieta?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Basconia vs Amorebieta?

On our numbers Basconia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Amorebieta 34%.

How many goals will there be in Basconia vs Amorebieta?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Basconia vs Amorebieta?

Our predicted score is Basconia 1–1 Amorebieta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Basconia vs Amorebieta?

Basconia vs Amorebieta (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Artunduaga.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.