Value bet: Beasain to win @ 3.90 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSD Logroñés to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.84
SD Logroñés vs Beasain: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SD Logroñés welcome Beasain to Estadio Las Gaunas for a Segunda División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 22 February (17:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SD Logroñés 1.2 xG, Beasain 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SD Logroñés 39%, draw 28%, Beasain 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Beasain to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SD Logroñés 1–1 Beasain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SD Logroñés39%fair 2.59 · @2.05
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.75
Beasain33%fair 2.99 · @3.90
2.44Expected goals
1.20SD Logroñés xG
1.24Beasain xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: SD Logroñés 1.2 – 1.2 Beasain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SD Logroñés to win✗
39%
2.59
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
SD Logroñés (draw no bet)
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
SD Logroñés +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Beasain to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beasain / FT Beasain✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.84
–
Recent results
SD Logroñés – last 1
D
14 Feb
@ Ebro
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Beasain
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SD Logroñés and Beasain.
What is the prediction for SD Logroñés vs Beasain?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win SD Logroñés vs Beasain?
On our numbers SD Logroñés have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Beasain 33%.
How many goals will there be in SD Logroñés vs Beasain?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SD Logroñés vs Beasain?
Our predicted score is SD Logroñés 1–1 Beasain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SD Logroñés vs Beasain?
SD Logroñés vs Beasain (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Gaunas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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