Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUD Logroñés to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceUD Logroñés or draw ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Gernika vs UD Logroñés: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 8 March: Gernika v UD Logroñés in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gernika 1.1 xG, UD Logroñés 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gernika 27%, draw 28%, UD Logroñés 45%.
Lower-risk option: UD Logroñés or draw (73%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was UD Logroñés or draw (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gernika 1–1 UD Logroñés. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gernika27%fair 3.77 · @3.75
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.80
UD Logroñés45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
2.51Expected goals
1.09Gernika xG
1.41UD Logroñés xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Gernika 1.1 – 1.4 UD Logroñés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Logroñés to win✓
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
UD Logroñés or draw✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
UD Logroñés (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Gernika +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
UD Logroñés to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Logroñés / FT UD Logroñés✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.23
–
Recent results
Gernika – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Sestao River
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
UD Logroñés – last 2
WW
1 Mar
vs SD Logroñés
5–0
W
15 Feb
vs Real Zaragoza II
6–0
W
5.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gernika and UD Logroñés.
What is the prediction for Gernika vs UD Logroñés?
Our pick is UD Logroñés or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gernika vs UD Logroñés?
On our numbers Gernika have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 28% and UD Logroñés 45%.
How many goals will there be in Gernika vs UD Logroñés?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gernika vs UD Logroñés?
Our predicted score is Gernika 1–1 UD Logroñés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gernika vs UD Logroñés?
Gernika vs UD Logroñés (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Alavés II2
Utebo1
Ejea1
Náxara1
Real Zaragoza II1
Basconia1
Alfaro0
Amorebieta0
Real Unión4
Beasain0
SD Logroñés1
Mutilvera3
Tudelano2
Ebro4