Alfaro v Amorebieta Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAmorebieta to win ✗41% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.60

Alfaro vs Amorebieta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Amorebieta travel to face Alfaro on Sunday 8 March in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2, with Campo Municipal de Urritxe the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Amorebieta, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Real Zaragoza II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alfaro 1.0 xG, Amorebieta 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Alfaro 30%, draw 29%, Amorebieta 41%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.92, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alfaro 1–1 Amorebieta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alfaro30%fair 3.28 · @3.10

Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.10

Amorebieta41%fair 2.44 · @2.15

2.05Expected goals

0.96Alfaro xG

1.09Amorebieta xG

52%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%

1–113%

0–013%

1–012%

0–28%

1–27%

From our goals model: Alfaro 1.0 – 1.1 Amorebieta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Amorebieta to win ✗	41%	2.44	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	71%	1.40	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.92	2.10 ▲
Draw no bet	Amorebieta (draw no bet)	57%	1.74	–
Asian handicap	Alfaro +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	Amorebieta to score first ✗	46%	2.16	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	49%	2.03	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Amorebieta / FT Amorebieta ✗	21%	4.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.60	–

Alfaro – last 2

22 Feb	vs Mutilvera	2–0	W
15 Feb	@ Utebo	1–4	L

1.5Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Amorebieta – last 3

DLW

1 Mar	vs Real Zaragoza II	0–0	D
22 Feb	@ Basconia	1–2	L
15 Feb	vs Ejea	2–0	W

1.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alfaro vs Amorebieta?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Alfaro vs Amorebieta?

On our numbers Alfaro have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Amorebieta 41%.

How many goals will there be in Alfaro vs Amorebieta?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alfaro vs Amorebieta?

Our predicted score is Alfaro 1–1 Amorebieta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Alfaro vs Amorebieta?

Alfaro vs Amorebieta (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Alfaro v Amorebieta: numbers & prediction

Alfaro

Amorebieta

Both teams to score