Value bet: Estepona to win @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAntoniano to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Antoniano vs Estepona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Antoniano welcome Estepona to Estadio Municipal for a Segunda División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 15 February (11:30 WAT). In the table, Antoniano are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Estepona are 8th (upper half) with 15.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antoniano 1.4 xG, Estepona 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antoniano 39%, draw 26%, Estepona 34%.
Price worth noting: Estepona to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antoniano 1–1 Estepona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antoniano39%fair 2.56 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.85
Estepona34%fair 2.90 · @3.45
2.83Expected goals
1.37Antoniano xG
1.46Estepona xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Antoniano 1.4 – 1.5 Estepona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antoniano to win✗
39%
2.56
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Antoniano (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Antoniano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Estepona to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estepona / FT Estepona✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
Antoniano
No recent results on record.
Estepona
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antoniano and Estepona.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Antoniano vs Estepona?
On our numbers Antoniano have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Estepona 34%.
How many goals will there be in Antoniano vs Estepona?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antoniano vs Estepona?
Our predicted score is Antoniano 1–1 Estepona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Antoniano vs Estepona?
Antoniano vs Estepona (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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