Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 brings Xerez Deportivo against Melilla at Estadio Municipal de Chapín. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Xerez Deportivo, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lorca Deportiva, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Melilla, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Antoniano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xerez Deportivo 1.2 xG, Melilla 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xerez Deportivo 38%, draw 30%, Melilla 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.95, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xerez Deportivo 1–1 Melilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xerez Deportivo38%fair 2.60 · @2.45
Draw30%fair 3.37 · @2.70
Melilla32%fair 3.13 · @3.00
2.21Expected goals
1.18Xerez Deportivo xG
1.03Melilla xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Xerez Deportivo 1.2 – 1.0 Melilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xerez Deportivo to win✓
38%
2.60
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Draw no bet
Xerez Deportivo (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Melilla +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Xerez Deportivo to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xerez Deportivo / FT Xerez Deportivo✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.70
–
Recent results
Xerez Deportivo – last 5
LDLDD
8 Mar
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Antoniano
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Real Jaén
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Extremadura 1924
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Puente Genil
1–1
D
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Melilla – last 3
DLL
8 Mar
vs Antoniano
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Ucam Murcia
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Real Jaén
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xerez Deportivo and Melilla.
What is the prediction for Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla?
On our numbers Xerez Deportivo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Melilla 32%.
How many goals will there be in Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla?
Our predicted score is Xerez Deportivo 1–1 Melilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla?
Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Antoniano2
Almería II0
La Unión Atlético1
Deportiva Minera2
Real Jaén1
Yeclano0
Lorca Deportiva0
Estepona2