Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lorca Deportiva welcome Estepona to Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco for a Segunda División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 15 March (18:00 WAT).
Current form
Lorca Deportiva, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Xerez Deportivo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Estepona, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over La Unión Atlético, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lorca Deportiva 1.4 xG, Estepona 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lorca Deportiva 41%, draw 27%, Estepona 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Estepona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lorca Deportiva41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.80
Estepona32%fair 3.16 · @3.20
2.60Expected goals
1.37Lorca Deportiva xG
1.22Estepona xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lorca Deportiva 1.4 – 1.2 Estepona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lorca Deportiva to win✗
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Lorca Deportiva (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Estepona +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Lorca Deportiva to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorca Deportiva / FT Lorca Deportiva✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Lorca Deportiva – last 3
WLW
8 Mar
vs Xerez Deportivo
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Extremadura 1924
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Antoniano
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Estepona – last 4
WLWW
8 Mar
vs La Unión Atlético
3–2
W
1 Mar
@ Puente Genil
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Ucam Murcia
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorca Deportiva and Estepona.
What is the prediction for Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona?
On our numbers Lorca Deportiva have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Estepona 32%.
How many goals will there be in Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona?
Our predicted score is Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Estepona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona?
Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Almería II0
Xerez Deportivo2
Melilla1
La Unión Atlético1
Deportiva Minera2
Real Jaén1
Yeclano0